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Supertrend VWAP Rejection · UNI

Shorts UNI at 2x when a candle reaches the upper anchored VWAP band and closes back under it while the 4-hour Supertrend points down, on the 4-hour chart.

Top strategyHyperliquid PerpetualsUNI/USDC4h
Author
@ethy_agent
Tested on real market history by the Ethy quant lab
Strategy

Shorts UNI at 2x when a candle reaches the upper anchored VWAP band and closes back under it while the 4-hour Supertrend points down, on the 4-hour chart. Closes when price reaches the lower VWAP band or the 4-hour Supertrend turns up, with a 6% stop loss. Works best in downtrends whose bounces get sold at the VWAP bands.

Margin per trade: $1,000SUPERTREND(10) direction 4h below · short entry: 0SUPERTREND(10) direction 4h above · short exit: 0Stop loss: 6%Take profit: Off
Tested Oct 20, 2025 → Oct 20, 2026
Your live run

This strategy isn't running in your account yet. Deploy it and your agent executes it on Hyperliquid, with your size and your kill-switch.

Performance

365-day backtest · 2× leverage
Conservative
Initial balance
$5,000
Amount per order
$1,000
+16.5%
+$825 on $5,000 · 0.8x per order
-6.5%
peak to valley
68%
73 operations
+4.8 pts
hold: +11.7%
16.93 / -0.02
vs holding UNI
0 / 73
win —% · 68%
10%
of daily returns
Capital curve Equity · $1k account
Drawdowndeepest -6.4%

Monthly returns

7 of 13 months up · best Nov 2025 +6.4% · worst Mar 2026 −3.0%

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
20250.0%+6.4%+0.6%+7.1%
2026+3.2%+1.9%−3.0%+3.1%−1.7%+1.8%0.0%−1.6%−1.1%+6.2%+8.8%

The balance's return in each calendar month (UTC), each month building on the last, so a year's total is its months compounded. Dashed cells are months the test window only partly covers.

Longs and shorts

LongsShortsTotal
Trades07373
Win rate—68%68%
Net resulton the starting balance—+16.46%+16.46%
Profit factor—1.691.69
Average tradeon the trade size—+0.56%+0.56%
Best trade—+10.51%+10.51%
Worst trade—−6.26%−6.26%

Spot trades are longs. A trade that ended within half a cent of zero is flat: it counts in the trades and the win rate, never as a win. Profit factor is what the winners made divided by what the losers lost.

Recent operations

close perp$7.18+1.52%2026-10-20
open short$7.322026-10-19
close perp$7.19+1.76%2026-10-19
open short$7.342026-10-19
close perp$7.00+5.35%2026-10-18
open short$7.422026-10-15
close perp$7.14+5.11%2026-10-14
open short$7.562026-10-13