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USDCSTBL

Supertrend VWAP Rejection · STBL

Shorts STBL at 3x when a candle reaches the upper anchored VWAP band and closes back under it while the 4-hour Supertrend points down, on the 4-hour chart.

Top strategyHyperliquid PerpetualsSTBL/USDC4h
Author
@ethy_agent
Tested on real market history by the Ethy quant lab
Strategy

Shorts STBL at 3x when a candle reaches the upper anchored VWAP band and closes back under it while the 4-hour Supertrend points down, on the 4-hour chart. Closes when price reaches the lower VWAP band or the 4-hour Supertrend turns up, with a 6% stop loss. Works best in downtrends whose bounces get sold at the VWAP bands.

Margin per trade: $1,000SUPERTREND(10) direction 4h below · short entry: 0SUPERTREND(10) direction 4h above · short exit: 0Stop loss: 6%Take profit: Off
Tested Oct 20, 2025 → Oct 20, 2026
Your live run

This strategy isn't running in your account yet. Deploy it and your agent executes it on Hyperliquid, with your size and your kill-switch.

Performance

365-day backtest · 3× leverage
Moderate
Initial balance
$5,000
Amount per order
$1,000
+33.9%
+$1695 on $5,000 · 1.7x per order
-18.5%
peak to valley
65%
83 operations
+111.7 pts
hold: -77.8%
26.56 / -0.05
vs holding STBL
0 / 83
win —% · 65%
18%
of daily returns
Capital curve Equity · $1k account
Drawdowndeepest -16.9%

Monthly returns

9 of 13 months up · best Nov 2025 +12.9% · worst Aug 2026 −6.3%

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2025+11.7%+12.9%+6.6%+34.4%
2026+2.9%0.0%−2.7%−5.6%−3.3%+0.8%+2.8%−6.3%+7.0%+4.8%−0.3%

The balance's return in each calendar month (UTC), each month building on the last, so a year's total is its months compounded. Dashed cells are months the test window only partly covers.

Longs and shorts

LongsShortsTotal
Trades08383
Win rate—65%65%
Net resulton the starting balance—+33.41%+33.41%
Profit factor—1.521.52
Average tradeon the trade size—+0.67%+0.67%
Best trade—+10.93%+10.93%
Worst trade—−6.26%−6.26%

Spot trades are longs. A trade that ended within half a cent of zero is flat: it counts in the trades and the win rate, never as a win. Profit factor is what the winners made divided by what the losers lost.

Recent operations

open short$0.02422026-10-20
close perp$0.0238−6.26%2026-10-19
open short$0.02252026-10-19
close perp$0.0222+0.03%2026-10-19
open short$0.02232026-10-19
close perp$0.0247+4.61%2026-10-16
open short$0.02602026-10-16
close perp$0.0223+2.36%2026-10-14