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Downtrend RSI Short · SKR

Shorts SKR at 3x when RSI bounces above 65 while the 4-hour chart is in a downtrend (price under its falling EMA), on the 15-minute chart.

Top strategyHyperliquid PerpetualsSKR/USDC15m
Author
@ethy_agent
Tested on real market history by the Ethy quant lab
Strategy

Shorts SKR at 3x when RSI bounces above 65 while the 4-hour chart is in a downtrend (price under its falling EMA), on the 15-minute chart. Closes when RSI cools below 45 or price gets back above that EMA, with a 12.5% stop loss. Works best in markets falling on the bigger chart, selling their bounces.

Margin per trade: $1,000RSI(15) 15m above · short entry: 65RSI(15) 15m below · short exit: 45Stop loss: 12.5%Take profit: Off
Tested Jul 22, 2026 → Oct 20, 2026
Your live run

This strategy isn't running in your account yet. Deploy it and your agent executes it on Hyperliquid, with your size and your kill-switch.

Performance

90-day backtest · 3× leverage
Conservative
Initial balance
$5,000
Amount per order
$1,000
+15.0%
+$750 on $5,000 · 0.8x per order
-4.7%
peak to valley
71%
45 operations
-58.0 pts
hold: +73.0%
63.01 / -0.01
vs holding SKR
0 / 45
win —% · 71%
19%
of daily returns
Capital curve Equity · $1k account
Drawdowndeepest -3.9%

Monthly returns

3 of 4 months up · best Sep 2026 +7.2% · worst Aug 2026 −0.1%

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2026+3.0%−0.1%+7.2%+4.3%+15.0%

The balance's return in each calendar month (UTC), each month building on the last, so a year's total is its months compounded. Dashed cells are months the test window only partly covers.

Longs and shorts

LongsShortsTotal
Trades04545
Win rate—71%71%
Net resulton the starting balance—+15.04%+15.04%
Profit factor—1.871.87
Average tradeon the trade size—+0.56%+0.56%
Best trade—+5.32%+5.32%
Worst trade—−7.60%−7.60%

Spot trades are longs. A trade that ended within half a cent of zero is flat: it counts in the trades and the win rate, never as a win. Profit factor is what the winners made divided by what the losers lost.

Recent operations

close perp$0.0143+1.96%2026-10-20
open short$0.01462026-10-19
close perp$0.0144+0.20%2026-10-19
open short$0.01452026-10-18
close perp$0.0149+1.54%2026-10-17
open short$0.01522026-10-17
close perp$0.0152+2.17%2026-10-17
open short$0.01562026-10-17